DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 1
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
17.0 | (68.0%) | Elected | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
3.0 | (12.0%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (8.0%) | ||
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.0%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.0%) | ||
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.0%) | ||
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) has enough votes to guarantee victory
(16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 2
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.0 | (15.9%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (8.0%) | ||
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
9.9 | (39.5%) | Elected | |
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.0%) | ||
| Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | ||
| Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | ||
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 3
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.0 | (15.9%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (8.0%) | ||
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.0%) | ||
| Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | ||
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.4 | (5.7%) | ||
| Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | ||
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.3 | (17.2%) | Elected | |
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 4
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.0 | (15.9%) | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (8.0%) | |
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.1%) | |
| Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | |
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.5 | (6.1%) | |
| Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | Defeated |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
The last-place candidate (Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 5
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
5.0 | (19.9%) | Elected | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (8.0%) | ||
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.1%) | ||
| Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | ||
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.5 | (6.1%) | ||
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | ||
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 6
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
2.8 | (11.2%) | |
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.1%) | |
| Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (3.9%) | Defeated |
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.5 | (6.1%) | |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
The last-place candidate (Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 7
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (15.2%) | |
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (7.9%) | |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (4.1%) | Defeated |
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.5 | (6.1%) | |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (16.7%) | |
The last-place candidate (Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 8
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (15.8%) | |
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (8.3%) | |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (6.5%) | Defeated |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| None of these |
|
1.0 | (4.2%) | |
The last-place candidate (Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 9
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
5.0 | (20.8%) | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (15.8%) | |
| Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic) |
|
2.7 | (11.3%) | Defeated |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (17.4%) | |
| None of these |
|
1.0 | (4.2%) | |
The last-place candidate (Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 10
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
6.7 | (29.2%) | Elected | |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (18.1%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (16.5%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (18.1%) | ||
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.2 | (18.1%) | ||
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (8.7%) | ||
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 11
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (18.2%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (16.5%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
5.5 | (23.8%) | Elected | |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.9 | (21.5%) | ||
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (8.7%) | ||
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 12
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.2 | (18.2%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
4.7 | (20.3%) | ||
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.9 | (21.5%) | Elected | |
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (8.7%) | ||
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 13
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.5 | (19.7%) | ||
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
4.7 | (20.3%) | Elected | |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (8.7%) | ||
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Round 14
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) |
|
4.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (8.7%) | |
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 92% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 96% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)
5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.
Ballot Depth
This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.
| Rank | Fraction of votes for winners | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st |
|
42.3% | |
| 2nd |
|
27.5% | |
| 3rd |
|
21.1% | |
| 4th |
|
3.5% | |
| 6th |
|
4.0% | |
| 7th |
|
1.5% | |