DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 1

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  17.0  (68.0%)  Elected
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Pie chart

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 2

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.0  (15.9%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  9.9  (39.5%)  Elected
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Pie chart

Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 3

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.0  (15.9%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.4  (5.7%)   
Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (17.2%)  Elected
Pie chart

Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















  

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 4

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.0  (15.9%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.1%)   
Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.5  (6.1%)   
Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)  Defeated
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Elsie Gufler, Retired Realtor (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 5

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  5.0  (19.9%)  Elected
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.1%)   
Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)   
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.5  (6.1%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 6

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  2.8  (11.2%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.1%)   
Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.9%)  Defeated
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.5  (6.1%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Howard Epstein, Small Business Owner (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 7

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  3.8  (15.2%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (7.9%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (4.1%)  Defeated
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.5  (6.1%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Ira Ruskin, California State Assemblyman (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 8

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  3.8  (15.8%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (8.3%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (6.5%)  Defeated
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
None of these  Chart color  1.0  (4.2%)   
Pie chart

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Gene Mullin, State Assemblymember/Educator (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 9

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  5.0  (20.8%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  3.8  (15.8%)   
Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (11.3%)  Defeated
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (17.4%)   
None of these  Chart color  1.0  (4.2%)   
Pie chart

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Fiona Ma, San Francisco Supervisor/Accountant (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 10

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  6.7  (29.2%)  Elected
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (18.1%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  3.8  (16.5%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (18.1%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (18.1%)   
None of these  Chart color  2.0  (8.7%)   
Pie chart

Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 11

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (18.2%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  3.8  (16.5%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  5.5  (23.8%)  Elected
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.9  (21.5%)   
None of these  Chart color  2.0  (8.7%)   
Pie chart

Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 12

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.2  (18.2%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  4.7  (20.3%)   
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.9  (21.5%)  Elected
None of these  Chart color  2.0  (8.7%)   
Pie chart

Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 13

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.5  (19.7%)   
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  4.7  (20.3%)  Elected
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)   
None of these  Chart color  2.0  (8.7%)   
Pie chart

Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 14

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Barry Hermanson, Small Business Owner (Green)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Ramiro Maldonado, Jr., Nonprofit Office Administrator (Republican)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Virginia Kiraly, Community Volunteer (Republican)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Mark Leno, Assemblyman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Sally Lieber, State Assemblywoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.6  (20.0%)  Elected
None of these  Chart color  2.0  (8.7%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

In the end, 92% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 96% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Francisco peninsula (District 2)

5 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Ballot Depth

This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank Fraction of votes for winners
1st    42.3% 
2nd    27.5% 
3rd    21.1% 
4th    3.5% 
6th    4.0% 
7th    1.5% 
Pie chart