DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 1

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  4.0  (50.0%)  Elected
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (25.0%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Pie chart

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 2

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (25.0%)  Elected
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  2.8  (34.7%)   
Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic)   Chart color  0.9  (11.1%)   
Pie chart

Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 3

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  2.8  (34.7%)  Elected
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  0.3  (4.2%)   
Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic)   Chart color  0.9  (11.1%)   
Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)   Chart color  0.3  (4.2%)   
Pie chart

Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















    

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 4

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.1  (13.2%)   
Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic)   Chart color  0.9  (11.1%)  Defeated
Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)   Chart color  1.1  (13.2%)   
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 5

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (12.5%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.9  (24.3%)  Elected
Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)   Chart color  1.1  (13.2%)   
Pie chart

Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 6

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.1%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)   Chart color  1.1  (13.2%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 7

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  2.1  (25.7%)  Equalized
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.7  (20.8%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.1%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 8

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.7  (20.8%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.1%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.8  (22.4%)  Equalized
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (16.7%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 9

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.7  (20.8%)  Equalized
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.1%)   
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.5  (19.0%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 10

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.1%)  Equalized
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)   
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (19.9%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Round 11

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican)   Chart color  1.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)

5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.


Ballot Depth

This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank Fraction of votes for winners
1st    65.0% 
2nd    11.8% 
3rd    11.1% 
5th    4.5% 
6th    7.5% 
Pie chart