DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 1 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 15.0  (34.1%)  Elected
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 14.0  (31.8%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 3.0  (6.8%)   
Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)  
 
 1.0  (2.3%)   
Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic)  
 
 1.0  (2.3%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 2 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 14.0  (31.8%)  Elected
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.6%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 3.0  (6.8%)   
Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)  
 
 1.0  (2.3%)   
Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic)  
 
 1.0  (2.3%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 5.4  (12.2%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
   
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 3 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.6%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 5.8  (13.1%)   
Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)  
 
 2.1  (4.8%)   
Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic)  
 
 1.0  (2.3%)  Defeated
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 5.4  (12.2%)   
Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)  
 
 2.8  (6.3%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 4 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 8.3  (18.9%)  Elected
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 5.8  (13.1%)   
Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)  
 
 2.1  (4.8%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 5.4  (12.2%)   
Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)  
 
 2.8  (6.3%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 5 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 5.8  (13.1%)   
Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)  
 
 2.1  (4.8%)  Defeated
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 6.3  (14.4%)   
Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)  
 
 2.8  (6.3%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 6 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.4  (19.2%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 6.8  (15.4%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 6.3  (14.4%)   
Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)  
 
 2.8  (6.3%)  Defeated
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 7 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.4  (19.2%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 5.0  (11.4%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 9.6  (21.7%)  Elected
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 6.3  (14.4%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 8 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.4  (19.2%)   
Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)  
 
 6.8  (15.4%)  Defeated
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 6.8  (15.4%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 9 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 10.9  (24.7%)  Elected
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 7.3  (16.7%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 9.3  (21.2%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 9.1  (20.7%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 10 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 8.2  (18.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 8.5  (19.4%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 9.3  (21.2%)  Elected
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 9.1  (20.7%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 11 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 8.7  (19.7%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 8.6  (19.6%)   
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 9.1  (20.7%)  Elected
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 12 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 8.7  (19.9%)   
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 8.9  (20.1%)  Elected
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 13 Legend  
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)  Elected
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)  Elected
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)  Elected
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)  Elected
Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic)  
 
 8.8  (20.0%)  Elected
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 95.5% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15)
5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast.

First Round | Last Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank   Fraction of votes for winners
1st 
 
50.3%   
2nd 
 
30.6%   
3rd 
 
6.8%   
5th 
 
2.6%   
6th 
 
2.6%   
7th 
 
0.7%   
8th 
 
3.9%   
9th 
 
2.4%   
  pies need GD